THE BALANCE OF POWER IN ASIA. TIBET EQUILIBRIUM

TIBET IS THE KEY FOR BALANCE OF POWER IN ASIA. #TIBETEQUILIBRIUM

Tibet is the Key for Balance of Power in Asia. It is not Geometry. It is Geography that Matters. #TibetEquilibrium In my analysis, it is not “Geometry” but it is “Geography” that Matters to secure the Balance of Power in Asia. I coined the phrase “Tibet Equilibrium,” #TibetEquilibrium to signify the importance of the landmass to achieve Power Equilibrium in Asia. Rudra Narasimham Rebbapragada SPECIAL FRONTIER FORCE Pentagon steps up efforts to counter China’s rising power afp.com

Maritime operations, missile tests, landing exercises: the Pentagon has been sharply stepping up its efforts to counter China’s growing military power, seen increasingly as a threat. a large ship in the water: The US military has been using guided-missile destroyers like this one, the USS John McCain, seen here in a US Navy photo, as it seeks to enforce an international 'freedom of operation' near islands claimed by Beijing in the South China Sea Tibet Equilibrium. Geography Matters. Tibet is the Key for Power Equilibrium in Asia. © James VAZQUEZ The US military has been using guided-missile destroyers like this one, the USS John McCain, seen here in a US Navy photo, as it seeks to enforce an international ‘freedom of operation’ near islands claimed by Beijing in the South China Sea On Friday an American warship approached the Paracel Islands, an island chain claimed by Beijing in the South China Sea, to affirm international “freedom of navigation” in the region. The USS Wayne E. Meyer, a guided-missile destroyer, passed near the islands to contest Beijing’s sweeping claims to the seas around the archipelago, which is also claimed by Taiwan and Vietnam. The Chinese claim would block “innocent passage” by other countries’ ships and is “not permitted by international law,” a US Seventh Fleet spokeswoman, Commander Reann Mommsen, said. Friday’s was the sixth “freedom of navigation operation” — or FONOPS in naval jargon — this year, a clear acceleration in pace. There were a total of eight in 2017 and 2018 and only six during the entire Obama presidency. On Wednesday, the US Marine Corps announced it had conducted exercises on the Japanese islet of Tori Shima, hundreds of miles south of Tokyo, to practice landings on “hostile” shores and the seizure of landing strips.

a man wearing a suit and tie: Ryan McCarthy is seen on September 12, 2019, at his Senate confirmation hearing to become US secretary of the army, the position formerly held by Defense Secretary Mark Esper Tibet Equilibrium. Geography Matters. Tibet is the Key for Power Equilibrium in Asia. © MARK WILSON Ryan McCarthy is seen on September 12, 2019, at his Senate confirmation hearing to become US secretary of the army, the position formerly held by Defense Secretary Mark EsperThe exercises were clearly designed to highlight the ability of the American military to invade a disputed island and establish a supply base for aerial operations. “This type of raid gives the commanders in the Indo-Pacific region the ability to project power and conduct expeditionary operations in a potentially contested littoral environment,” one of the officers in charge, Commander Anthony Cesaro, said in a statement. Such a forthright description, coming from a Pentagon hardly known for unguarded talk, reflects the fresh impetus Defense Secretary Mark Esper has given to the US policy of “strategic rivalry” with China and Russia. Esper, who chose Asia for his first overseas trip only weeks after being sworn in as Pentagon chief, has made clear that the US wants to rapidly deploy new missiles in Asia — possibly within months — to counter China’s rising military power. – To ‘change the geometry’ – On Thursday, acting US army secretary Ryan McCarthy, speaking in a Senate confirmation hearing, defended the development of such new missiles. He said the new medium-range conventional missiles Washington wants to develop — now that the US is no longer constrained by the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty, which the Trump administration abandoned last year — would “change the geometry within Southeast Asia.” “If we can get the appropriate partnerships, expeditionary basing rights with partners within the region,” McCarthy said, “we can change the geometry and basically reverse anti-access, area-denial capabilities that have been invested by near-peer competitors” — jargon for pushing back against sovereignty claims by China and Russia.

a large ship in the background: Sailors stand on the deck of the new Chinese guided-missile destroyer Nanchang as Beijing showed off its growing fleet on April 23, 2019, in the sea off eastern China's Shandong province Tibet is the Key for Balance of Power in Asia. It is not Geometry. It is Geography that Matters. #TibetEquilibrium © Mark Schiefelbein Sailors stand on the deck of the new Chinese guided-missile destroyer Nanchang as Beijing showed off its growing fleet on April 23, 2019 in the sea off eastern China’s Shandong province last month the Pentagon chose the Pacific Ocean for its first test of a conventional medium-range missile since the end of the Cold War — effectively driving a nail into the coffin of the INF treaty, which banned the use of land-based missiles with ranges of 500 to 5,500 kilometers (310 to 3,400 miles). And in late August, Washington formally established its Space Command, or Spacecom, a new unified command charged with ensuring US domination in space, where China has been increasingly active. Beijing rattled US military officials in 2007 when it launched a missile that located and then destroyed a Chinese satellite, in a dramatic demonstration of China’s growing ability to militarize space.

Tibet is the Key for Balance of Power in Asia. It is not Geometry. It is Geography that Matters. #TibetEquilibrium

THE BATTLE FOR TIBET. TRUTH vs GUN

The Battle for Tibet. Truth vs Gun.

“Our strength, our power is based on truth. Chinese power based on the gun,” the Dalai Lama said. “So for short term, the gun is much more decisive, but long term truth is more powerful.”

In my analysis, the Battle for Tibet will not be decided by either Chinese Gun or American Gun. The truth will prevail. China will reap the consequences of her own Evil actions. Tibet's Identity is shaped by Natural Forces, Natural Causes, and Natural Factors that condition the nature of Tibetan Existence. Nature will unleash a physical force to compel China to withdraw from illegally occupied Tibetan Territory.

Rudranarasimham Rebbapragada
Special Frontier Force

The Battle for Tibet. Truth vs Gun.

Exclusive: Dalai Lama contemplates Chinese gambit after his death. Reuters

Clipped from: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-tibet-dalai-lama-exclusive/exclusive-dalai-lama-contemplates-chinese-gambit-after-his-death-idUSKCN1QZ1NS?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews

DHARAMSHALA, India (Reuters) -



The Dalai Lama, the spiritual leader of Tibetan Buddhism, said on Monday it was possible that once he dies his incarnation could be found in India, where he has lived in exile for 60 years, and warned that any other successor named by China would not be respected.

Sat in an office next to a temple ringed by green hills and snow-capped mountains, the 14th Dalai Lama spoke to Reuters a day after Tibetans in the northern Indian town of Dharamshala marked the anniversary of his escape from the Tibetan capital, Lhasa, disguised as a soldier.

He fled to India in early 1959 after a failed uprising against Chinese rule and has since worked to draw global support for linguistic and cultural autonomy in his remote and mountainous homeland.

China, which took control of Tibet in 1950, brands the 83-year-old Nobel peace laureate a dangerous separatist.

Pondering what might happen after his death, the Dalai Lama anticipated some attempt by Beijing to foist a successor on Tibetan Buddhists.

“China considers Dalai Lama’s reincarnation as something very important. They have more concern about the next Dalai Lama than me,” said the Dalai Lama, swathed in his traditional red robes and yellow scarf.

“In future, in case you see two Dalai Lamas come, one from here, in a free country, one chosen by Chinese, then nobody will trust, nobody will respect (the one chosen by China). So that’s an additional problem for the Chinese! It’s possible, it can happen,” he added, laughing.

China has said its leaders have the right to approve the Dalai Lama’s successor, as a legacy inherited from China’s emperors.

But many Tibetans - whose tradition holds that the soul of a senior Buddhist monk is reincarnated in the body of a child on his death - suspect any Chinese role as a ploy to exert influence on the community.

Born in 1935, the current Dalai Lama was identified as the reincarnation of his predecessor when he was two years old.

Speaking in Beijing at a daily news briefing on Tuesday, Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said the 14th Dalai Lama himself was chosen by following centuries-old religious rituals and history, which were “respected and protected” in rules and ordinances regulating religion.
“Therefore reincarnations, including that of the Dalai Lama, should observe the country’s laws and regulations and follow the rituals and history of religion,” Geng said.

UP FOR DISCUSSION

Many of China’s more than 6 million Tibetans still venerate the Dalai Lama despite government prohibitions on displays of his picture or any public display of devotion.

The Dalai Lama said contact between Tibetans living in their homeland and in exile was increasing, but that no formal meetings have happened between Chinese and his officials since 2010.

Informally, however, some retired Chinese officials and businessman with connections to Beijing do visit him from time to time, he added.

He said the role of the Dalai Lama after his death, including whether to keep it, could be discussed during a meeting of Tibetan Buddhists in India later this year.

He, however, added that though there was no reincarnation of Buddha, his teachings have remained.

“If the majority of (Tibetan people) really want to keep this institution, then this institution will remain,” he said. “Then comes the question of the reincarnation of the 15th Dalai Lama.”


FILE PHOTO: Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama, Patron of Children in Crossfire, speaks during a press conference in Londonderry, Northern Ireland September 11, 2017. REUTERS/Clodagh Kilcoyne/File Photo

If there is one, he would still have “ no political responsibility”, said the Dalai Lama, who gave up his political duties in 2001, developing a democratic system for the up to 100,000 Tibetans living in India.

SEMINAR IN CHINA?

During the interview, the Dalai Lama spoke passionately about his love for cosmology, neurobiology, quantum physics and psychology.

If he was ever allowed to visit his homeland, he said he’d like to speak about those subjects in a Chinese university.

But he wasn’t expecting to go while China remained under Communist rule.

“China - great nation, ancient nation - but its political system is a totalitarian system, no freedom. So, therefore, I prefer to remain here, in this country.”

The Dalai Lama was born to a family of farmers in Taktser, a village on the northeastern edge of the Tibetan plateau, in China’s Qinghai province.

During a recent Reuters visit to Taktser, police armed with automatic weapons blocked the road. Police and more than a dozen plain-clothed officials said the village was not open to non-locals.

“Our strength, our power is based on truth. Chinese power based on the gun,” the Dalai Lama said. “So for short term, the gun is much more decisive, but long term truth is more powerful.”

Reporting by Krishna N. Das; Additional reporting by Philip Wen in BEIJING; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore

The Battle for Tibet. Truth vs Gun. 

GOD MUST REINCARNATE TO DEFY THE CHINESE RULE OVER TIBET

I SAY GOD MUST REINCARNATE TO DEFY THE CHINESE RULE OVER TIBET

God must reincarnate to defy the Chinese Rule over Tibet.

I say God must reincarnate to defy the Chinese Rule over Tibet. If not, I ask God to give me a few pebbles to knock down The Goliath.

Rudranarasimham Rebbapragada

SPECIAL FRONTIER FORCE

China says Dalai Lama reincarnation ‘must comply’ with Chinese laws

Clipped from: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/03/21/china-says-dalai-lama-reincarnation-must-comply-chinese-laws/

God must reincarnate to defy the Chinese Rule over Tibet.

The Dalai Lama, the Tibetan spiritual leader, warned that the successor chosen by China could not be trusted Credit: BIJU BORO/AFP/Getty Images

The Dalai Lama has warned of a possible "double reincarnation" with one from a "free country" after Beijing reiterated that his next incarnation must comply with Chinese law.

The Tibetan Buddhist leader on Monday warned that a successor chosen by Beijing after his eventual death could not be trusted.

He said it is possible that his reincarnation could be found in India, where he has lived in exile for 60 years upon fleeing Tibet following a failed uprising against Chinese rule.

"In future, in case you see two Dalai Lamas come, one from here, in a free country, one chosen by Chinese, then nobody will trust, nobody will respect [the one chosen by China].

"So that's an additional problem for the Chinese! It's possible, it can happen," he told Reuters in an interview. 

God must reincarnate to defy the Chinese Rule over Tibet.

The Dalai Lama has lived in exile in northern India since the failed uprising, along with other Tibetans Credit: MONEY SHARMA/AFP/Getty Images

China stated in response that its leaders have the right to approve the Dalai Lama’s successor. The selection process “must comply with Chinese laws and regulations,” according to Geng Shuang, a spokesman for the foreign ministry.

Chinese state media highlighted those laws, titled “New Regulations on Religious Affairs and the Rules on the Management of the Reincarnation of Tibetan Living Buddhas.”

Many Tibetans, who believe that the soul of a senior Buddhist monk is reincarnated into the physical body of a child upon his death, worry a successor chosen by Beijing will be under the thumb of the ruling Communist Party.

The current Dalai Lama was identified as the reincarnation of his predecessor when he was two years old.

Now at 83, it’s getting harder for him to travel the world to boost awareness, and his influence is waning just as China’s is growing on the world stage.

God must reincarnate to defy the Chinese Rule over Tibet.

The Dalai Lama is now 83 Credit: STR/AFP/Getty Images

Beijing has recently cracked down heavily on religion under president Xi Jinping after the government vowed to “Sinicise” faith. The wave of repression has affected Muslims, Christians, and Buddhists.

“China considers Dalai Lama’s reincarnation as something very important,” the Dalai Lama said in an interview with Reuters. “They have more concern about the next Dalai Lama than me.”

Beijing has previously co-opted the spiritual reincarnation process with a goal of bringing Tibetan Buddhism within party lines.

In 1995, the Dalai Lama named a young Tibetan boy as the reincarnation of the previous Panchen Lama – the second highest in spiritual authority after himself. But the child was then put under what Chinese officials described as protective custody.

Beijing put forth another successor and the Dalai Lama’s choice – then only six years old – disappeared from public.

'Chinese interference is routine'

The Chinese government has sought to discredit the Dalai Lama. In February, Wu Yingjie, leader of a parliamentary delegation from Tibet, said that Tibetans did n’t love the Dalai Lama at all.

“Since Dalai Lama defected from Tibet, he has never done a single thing that was for the benefit for the Tibetan people,” Mr. Wu said. Instead, “they are grateful for what the Party brings to them.”

Last May, Tashi Wangchuk, a Tibetan businessman, was given a five-year prison sentence by China for promoting the Tibetan language, based on comments made in interviews with the New York Times.

The Tibet Autonomous Region, in China’s far west, is considered a homeland to many Tibetans and remains on lockdown. Travel in and out of the region is difficult, even for Tibetans.

Foreign journalists cannot visit without government permission, and those requests are frequently denied. Chinese officials have said they are concerned this is out of concern that foreigners may find it difficult to acclimate to the high altitudes on the Tibetan plateau.

God must reincarnate to defy the Chinese Rule over Tibet.

BEIJING DOOMED FOR TELLING LIES

TIBET AWARENESS. BEIJING DOOMED FOR TELLING LIES

Beijing Doomed For Telling Lies.

Red China's military invasion and occupation of Tibet is illegal, and it has nothing to do with Tibetans support for the Dalai Lama. Red China has no justification for her Tyranny, Oppression, and Suppression of Tibetan Freedom.

Rudranarasimham Rebbapragada
SPECIAL FRONTIER FORCE

Beijing Doomed For Telling Lies.

China denies Tibet support for Dalai Lama | Daily Mail Online

Clipped from: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/afp/article-6777709/China-denies-Tibet-support-Dalai-Lama.html

Beijing Doomed For Telling Lies.

There is no widespread support for the Dalai Lama in Tibet and ordinary people are grateful to the Communist Party for "bringing them a happy life", Chinese officials insisted Wednesday.

This week marks the 60th anniversary of a failed uprising which led to Tibet's Buddhist spiritual leader, the Dalai Lama, fleeing into exile in India.

Beijing -- which claims it "peacefully liberated" the Himalayan area -- stands accused of political and religious repression in the region.

But China insists that Tibetans enjoy extensive freedoms and argues it has brought economic growth.

"Since defecting, the Dalai Lama has not done a single good thing for the Tibetan people," Tibet party boss Wu Yingjie said during a meeting at the sidelines of China's annual parliamentary meeting.

"Tibetan people have gratitude in their hearts. They are grateful to the Communist Party for bringing them a happy life."

At least 150 Tibetans have set themselves on fire since 2009 in protest against Beijing's presence in Tibet, most of whom have died from their injuries.

Beijing Doomed For Telling Lies. 

China had reached out to the Dalai Lama in 2002 to negotiate but after nine rounds of dialogue that lasted through till 2010, many believed that Beijing was intentionally dragging on pointless talks, hoping international pressure over Tibet would end with the passing of the Dalai Lama.

At 83, the Nobel Peace Prize winner enjoys rapturous crowds around the world.

Many Tibetan Buddhists fear Beijing may seek to impose their choice of the spiritual leader after the Dalai Lama's death.

It is unclear how, or even whether, his successor will be named -- the centuries-old practice requires senior monks to interview sometimes hundreds of young boys to see whether they recognize items that belonged to the Dalai Lama and pick one as a reincarnation.

But the 14th Dalai Lama announced in 2011 that he may be the last, seeking to preempt any attempt by China to name its own successor.

China's officially atheist Communist Party has repeatedly said it has the right to control the process of reincarnation.

Beijing Doomed For Telling Lies.

 .

CHINA'S DOOMSDAY DILEMMA

BEIJING DOOMED - CHINA'S DOOMSDAY DILEMMA

Beijing Doomed - China's Doomsday Dilemma

Thubten Samphel, Director of Tibet Policy Institute of Central Tibetan Administration described China's Dalai Lama Dilemma.

Beijing Doomed - China's Doomsday Dilemma.

In my analysis, China must open her eyes to Doomsday Revelation shared by Doom Dooma Doomsayer. In my view, Beijing awaits catastrophe, disaster, calamity, cataclysm, apocalypse, or Doom as described in The Book of Revelation, Chapter 18.

Beijing Doomed - China's Doomsday Dilemma.

China can be willing to pay the ransom but cannot ward off disaster which is just a stone’s throw away.

Rudranarasimham Rebbapragada
SPECIAL FRONTIER FORCE

Beijing Doomed - Doom is just a stone's throw away.

CHINA'S DALAI LAMA DILEMMA – CENTRAL TIBETAN ADMINISTRATION

Clipped from: http://tibet.net/2018/07/chinas-dalai-lama-dilemma/

By Thubten Samphel

In his pursuit of the Chinese dream and the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, President Xi Jinping has relentlessly tightened Party discipline and its grip on society. He has launched the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a project to vastly improve connectivity on land and at sea between Africa, the Middle East, and Europe through the construction of highways, airports, rail, and ports to facilitate trade and commerce between continents. It is hoped that Chinese investment in 64 countries would facilitate the flow of goods, minerals, gas, and foodstuff to China to keep its domestic economy humming and strengthen its outward power projection.

Under Xi, China has asserted its claims of sovereignty over the South China Sea not only through words but by concrete action. It is constructing artificial islands, which are being weaponized.

Xi’s China makes another claim of sovereignty over cyberspace. It is succeeding to a surprising degree. What information goes out of China and is allowed into the country is monitored and controlled by the Chinese Communist Party. Other authoritarian regimes are following suit.

China makes another claim of sovereignty. This time it is over Tibet’s spiritual space.  Whether the Party will succeed or not is another matter but its determination to do so is clear from a number of projects and policy directions.

In 2007, the Party issued a directive “the management measures for the reincarnation of living Buddhas in Tibetan Buddhism.” It is also known as order number five. Reincarnating Tibetan lamas must submit a “reincarnation application” to the Party for their reincarnation to be “approved.”

In 2016, China launched an online database of all reincarnating Tibetan lamas. Those not on the database are not “living Buddhas” in the Party’s eyes. And the Dalai Lama is not on the database.

Here the Party is confronted by the Dalai Lama dilemma. The Party wants the 15th Dalai Lama but not the 14th, who some senior cadres “ordered” him to reincarnate. In pursuit of this goal, the Party is moving aggressively in areas and countries that were not the fields of activities of the United Front, a Party organ considered its “magic weapon.”

Khalkha Jetsun Dampa - China's Dalai Lama Dilemma.

                                     Khalkha Jetsun Dampa

Mongolia is the new field of activities of the United Front. These activities are made easier because Mongolia, a vast landlocked country with only two neighbors, China and Russia, is beholden to its powerful and dynamic southern neighbor for its economic wellbeing.  China is exploiting this Mongol vulnerability to “guide” Mongolia in its selection of Khalkha Jetsun Dampa, Mongolia’s highest reincarnate lama, whose previous reincarnation lived in Dharamsala for many years. China wants Mongolia to select the next reincarnation without any consultation with the Dalai Lama.

But the problem for China is that the Dalai Lama is enthroned at the very top of Tibet’s spiritual hierarchy. Reincarnating lamas’ spiritual legitimacy and acceptance by people, be they Tibetans, Mongolians or throughout the Buddhist Himalayan belt, derives from his recognition.

But China makes no pretense of its game plan in playing in Tibet’s spiritual realm. It is promoting the Beijing-appointed Panchen Lama, creating important platforms for him to gain wider acceptance. It is also promoting the late 10th Panchen Lama’s daughter in the hope she will throw her father’s spiritual weight to the Party’s choice of the next Dalai Lama. Beijing has lined up and is grooming young Tibetan lamas to help it choose the 15th Dalai Lama and to show to the world that there is Tibetan Buddhist church’s acceptance of its choice.

In making this plan’s the Party hopes that without a shot being fired it could appropriate the crown jewel of Tibet’s civilization and along with it the worldwide goodwill the present Dalai Lama has created for Tibet and its culture.

The problem for China is that the concept of reincarnation is a matter of faith and cannot be imposed through administrative diktat. That faith will be guided by the actions of the heads of all four schools of Tibetan Buddhism and that of Bon, Tibet’s homegrown religion, who fortunately are all in India. Above all, it will be determined by the decision of the 14th Dalai Lama.

*Thubten Samphel is the director of the Tibet Policy Institute, a research center of the Central Tibetan Administration. Views expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of the TPI.

Beijing Doomed - China's Doomsday Dilemma.

DOOMED AMERICAN FANTASY - THE WRITING ON THE WALL

DOOMED AMERICAN FANTASY - THE WRITING ON THE WALL

DOOMED AMERICAN FANTASY - THE WRITING ON THE WALL. WHO SHAPES DESTINY OF NATIONS? DANIEL 5:25.

37th US President Richard M. Nixon's China Fantasy placed America on a Slippery Slope with tragic consequences including Military Disaster in Vietnam.

Nixon-Kissinger China Fantasy formulated US Policy of "Conceptual Failure," and "Strategic Blunder" which holds no Promise for America's Future.

DOOMED AMERICAN FANTASY - THE WRITING ON THE WALL - READ THE WRITING ON MADE IN CHINA LABEL.

"The Writing On The Wall" is clear. Prophet Daniel warned Belshazzar, the last King of Babylon about impending Doom. This is a Wake Up Call. America need to Read The Writing on Made In China Label.

DOOMED AMERICAN FANTASY - THE WRITING ON THE WALL - READ THE WRITING ON MADE IN CHINA LABEL.

 Its not too late. To avoid Downfall, to avert Disaster, to prevent Catastrophe, and to halt Calamity in its tracks, America needs to Dump China Fantasy. The next US President Trump has to start afresh to 'Make America Great Again'.

Rudranarasimham Rebbapragada

Ann Arbor, MI 48104-4162 USA

DOOM DOOMA DOOMSAYER

Doomed American Fantasy - The Writing On The Wall. James Mann, Author of 'The China Fantasy'.

The New York Times

Op-Ed Contributor

America's Dangerous 'China Fantasy'

By JAMES MANN

OCT. 27, 2016

Throughout the 1990s and early 2000s, American business executives and political leaders of both parties repeatedly put forward what I label the "China fantasy": the view that trade, foreign investment and increasing prosperity would lead to political liberalization in the world's most populous country.

"Trade freely with China, and time is on our side," said President George W. Bush. He was merely echoing his Democratic predecessor, Bill Clinton, who called the opening of China's political system "inevitable, just as inevitably the Berlin Wall fell."

To say the least, things in China haven't turned out that way.

Over the past few years, the Chinese regime has become ever less tolerant of political dissent - to such an extent that, these days, American leaders have become far more reluctant to make claims about China's political future or the impact on it of trade and investment. The "China fantasy" got the dynamics precisely wrong: Economic development, trade and investment have yielded greater political repression and a more closed political system.

This amounts to a new China paradigm: an intensely internationalized yet also intensely repressive one-party state. China provides the model that other authoritarian regimes, from Russia to Turkey to Egypt, may seek to replicate. As a result, the United States will find itself struggling with this new China paradigm again and again in the coming years.

In using the word "repression," I am talking about organized political activity, not private speech. Visitors to China are sometimes surprised to find that cab drivers, tour guides or old friends may speak to them with candor, even about political subjects. However, what such people can't do is to form an organization independent of the Chinese Communist Party or take independent action to try to change anything.

Doomed American Fantasy - The Writing On The Wall. Wang Qiaoling (Left), and Li Wenzu with photos of their husbands, Human Rights Lawyers Detained by Red China.

Wang Qiaoling, left, and Li Wenzu with photos of their husbands, human rights lawyers in China who have been detained since July 2015. Credit How Hwee Young/European Pressphoto Agency

Indeed, over the past two years the Chinese government has been moving in new ways against people and institutions that might, even indirectly, provide support for independent political activity. It has tightened the rules for nongovernmental organizations. More recently, it has been arresting Chinese lawyers. It has also been staging televised confessions, a practice reminiscent of Stalin's show trials.

Why is it that trade and investment have led to a Chinese regime that represses dissent more than it did five, 10 or 20 years ago? The answer, put simply, is that the regime thinks it needs to do so, can do so and has fewer outside constraints inhibiting it from doing so.

First, it needs to because as the economy develops and grows more complex, Chinese citizens are having new grievances of the sort that would otherwise lead to organized political activity. Environmental problems have multiplied. Consumers worry about product safety (tainted milk, for example) and accidents (like train wrecks). And at least to educated Chinese, internet censorship can be an annoyance, if not an insult.

Second, China's security apparatus has a much greater capacity to repress dissent than it did in the past. Technology gives it greater capacity to control both physical space (the streets) and cyberspace (the internet).

Finally, the world's increased commercial involvement with China over the past two decades has made foreign leaders more reluctant to do anything in response to Chinese crackdowns, lest the Chinese regime retaliate. This is in large part a problem of perception: In fact, the Chinese regime cares about its standing in the world and would seek to avoid international condemnation if world leaders took strong stand and work together.

Almost forgotten now is that in the 1990s, the United States, possessing far greater economic leverage in dealing with China than it has today, threatened trade restrictions if Beijing did not improve the human rights climate. After intense debate, the Clinton administration eventually backed away from threats to limit trade with China.

The aftermath of that debate was disastrous. American leaders overreacted by deciding to avoid any further strong actions in support of human rights in China. Instead, they offered the "China fantasy": the idea that change would come inevitably.

At one point, giving voice to the optimism and the false assumptions about how trade would liberalize China, President Clinton told China's president, Jiang Zemin, at a Washington news conference, "You're on the wrong side of history." History, however, is rendering its own judgment - that America's confidence in the political impact of trade with China was woefully misplaced.

Looking forward, we are obliged to deal with a China capable of moving endlessly from one crackdown to another, no longer interrupted by the occasional easings or "Beijing Springs" of the past. It will be a different China, in which educated, middle-class people may be less loyal, but their views also less influential.

What we can do is to keep expressing as forcefully as possible the values of political freedom and the right to dissent. Democratic governments around the world need to collaborate more often in condemning Chinese repression - not just in private meetings but in public as well. We should also find new ways to single out and penalize individual Chinese officials involved in repression. Why should there be a one-way street in which Chinese leaders send their own children to America's best schools, while locking up lawyers at home?

The Chinese regime is not going to open up because of our trade with it. The "China fantasy" amounted to both a conceptual failure and a strategic blunder. The next president will need to start out afresh.

James Mann, a resident fellow at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies and former Beijing bureau chief for The Los Angeles Times, is the author of "The China Fantasy."


·  © 2016 The New York Times Company

BEIJNG DOOMED - DALAI LAMA VISITS MONGOLIA

BEIJING DOOMED - DALAI LAMA VISITS MONGOLIA

BEIJING DOOMED - 14th Dalai Lama Visits Mongolia.

BEIJING DOOMED - 14th DALAI LAMA VISITS MONGOLIA, 19th & 20th NOVEMBER, 2016.

Beijing Doomed - 14th Dalai Lama Visits Mongolia.

Beijing Doomed - 14th Dalai Lama Visits Mongolia.

Beijing Doomed - 14th Dalai Lama Visits Mongolia.

BEIJING DOOMED - OCEAN OF WISDOM TEACHES IN MONGOLIA

In 1574, Mongol Emperor Altan Khan offered Sonam Gyatso the title of 'Dalai Lama' which literally means Ocean of Wisdom. Thus Sonam Gyatso became the Third Dalai Lama as the title was applied posthumously to two Lamas whom he represented as reincarnation. In 1588, the Third Dalai Lama died while teaching in Mongolia. The Great Fifth Dalai Lama founded the Ganden Phodrang Government of Tibet in 1642. The successive Dalai Lamas have headed the Tibetan State for nearly four centuries.

His Holiness the 14th Dalai Lama's visit to Mongolia is very significant as it attests historical connections between Tibet and Mongolia.

Rudranarasimham Rebbapragada

Ann Arbor, MI 48104-4162 USA

SPECIAL FRONTIER FORCE

[Central Tibetan Administration]<http://tibet.net/>

His Holiness the Dalai Lama Visits Gandan Tegchenling Monastery in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia

November 20, 2016


By Staff Writer

Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, 19 November 2016 - His Holiness the Dalai Lama left Japan for Mongolia late yesterday morning. As the plane descended through the clouds over Ulaanbaatar, a white blanket of snow covered the land as far as the eye could see.

[His Holiness the Dalai Lama arriving at the airport in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia on November 18, 2016. Photo/Tenzin Taklha/OHHDL]<http://tibet.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/2016-11-19-Mongolia-N01-PB180009.jpg>

His Holiness was greeted at the door of the plane by Khambo Lama Choi Gyamtso with other senior Mongolian lamas, a representative of the Indian Embassy, and Representative Telo Tulku from Moscow.

A large number of monks awaited His Holiness in the arrival hall and he spent a few minutes talking to dignitaries who had come to receive him. He gave a brief interview to Mongolian National Television. Expressing happiness at being able to visit Mongolia once again, he said he was looking forward to giving Buddhist teachings, visiting Gandan Tegchenling Monastery and interacting with members of the younger generation over the next four days.

This morning, a short drive through Ulaanbaatar brought His Holiness to Gandan Tegchenling Monastery. After first paying his respects in the Vajradhara Temple, he took his seat in the Gandan Assembly Hall. Khambo Lama Choi Gyamtso offered the mandala and three representations of the body, speech and mind of enlightenment on behalf of the entire congregation. Following prayers and a tsok offering, His Holiness gave the oral transmission of his 'Praise to the Seventeen Masters of Nalanda'.

Lunch, offered in His Holiness's honour by Gandan Tegchenling Monastery, was served in a traditional Mongolian yurt.

[His Holiness the Dalai Lama speaking at Yiga Choeling Dratsang in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia on November 19, 2016. Photo/Tenzin Taklha/OHHDL]<http://tibet.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/2016-11-19-Mongolia-N02-MG_5266.jpg>

In the afternoon, several thousand people braved extremely cold weather to greet His Holiness in front of the Avalokiteshvara Temple. He briefly told them too how happy he was to be in Mongolia again. He urged the crowd not only to perform rituals and prayers, but also to study what Buddhist teachings mean. He promised to explain how to do this during teachings he is scheduled to give tomorrow.

More than 1000 monks packed into the Yiga Choeling Dratsang to listen to His Holiness. He explained to them how he has been holding discussions with modern scientists for more than 30 years, focussing primarily on four fields-cosmology, neurobiology, physics, especially quantum physics, and psychology. Since both sides have learned a great deal from each other, their dialogue has been richly and mutually beneficial.

"I first started talking to scientists out of simple curiosity. But as our conversations developed, I realized that there were some things they knew about that we could usefully learn about in our monastic institutions. Consequently, we have introduced the study of some aspects of science into the curriculums of several of our major monastic universities in India."

[Some of the over 1000 monks listening to His Holiness the Dalai Lama at Yiga Choeling Dratsang in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia on November 19, 2016. Photo/Igor Yanchoglov]<http://tibet.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/2016-11-19-Mongolia-N05-IMG_2882.jpg>

His Holiness also stressed the importance of studying the classic texts composed by Nalanda masters.

"It is not enough just to have simple faith, as many people in the past have done. It is essential that our faith is based on knowledge and reason. This is why these days I advise Tibetans to be 21st century Buddhists, which means following Buddhist teachings on the basis of sound understanding. It's also important to be able to sustain faith and religious tradition in the light of modern knowledge. So, I advise you Mongolians to be 21st century Buddhists too."

His Holiness answered several questions from the audience before returning to the Guest House where he is staying. Tomorrow, he will teach Je Tsongkhapa's 'In Praise of Dependent Arising' and 'Three Principal Aspects of the Path' and give a permission of Je Rinpoche in conjunction with the Deities of the Three Families.

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ULAN-UDE, RUSSIA. IVOLGINSKY DATSAN MONASTERY. SINCE 1992, DALAI LAMA PAID FIVE VISITS TO THIS MONASTERY.On theculturetrip.com

2016  Central Tibetan Administration  

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